The World Bank has lowered its 2016 growth forecast for Africa to 3.3%, from 4.2% previously, after the continent expanded by only 3% in 2015; the slowest pace of growth since the 2009 global financial crisis and well below the 6.8% levels experienced by the continent between 2003 and 2008.
The bank’s latest Africa’s Pulse publication, released on Monday, indicated that the weak 2015 performance, as well as the 2016 downward revision, could be attributed largely to the plunge in commodity prices, which had dramatically lowered the terms of trade for the continent’s oil and minerals exporters.
“The fall in commodity prices represented a significant shock for the region, because of the large share of commodities in exports: fuels, ores and metals account for more than 60% of the region’s exports compared with 16% for manufactured goods and 10% for agricultural products,” the bank outlined.