July 17, 2013 – Republic of Mining

Australia’s carbon mess a warning to the world – by Clyde Russell (Reuters India – July 17, 2013)

July 17, 2013

http://in.reuters.com/

Clyde Russell is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own.

LAUNCESTON, Australia, July 17 (Reuters) – Any government thinking of introducing policies to limit carbon emissions should look at Australia for an example of how not to do it.

Australia’s efforts to combat climate change have been poison to politicians from all sides of the debate, contributing so far to the demise of two prime ministers and an opposition leader, and there may be more to come. The latest twist has seen Prime Minister Kevin Rudd decide to switch from a straight tax on carbon emissions to a floating emissions trading scheme (ETS) a year earlier than planned.

This has nothing to do with improving the workings of the scheme or limiting carbon emissions and everything to do with trying to win back voters angered by rising electricity prices and industries that have seen their international competitiveness eroded by the tax.

The theory is that power and other prices will decline as the cost of carbon permits is expected to be around A$6 per tonne – the level at which European permits are currently priced – compared to the tax of A$25.40 ($23.09) per tonne that had been planned from July 2014.

UPDATE 2-ArcelorMittal abandons dormant Indian project – by Krishna N Das (Reuters India – July 17, 2013)

July 17, 2013

http://in.reuters.com/

NEW DELHI, July 17 (Reuters) – ArcelorMittal, the world’s top steelmaker, said it would scrap a planned steel plant in India due to delays in acquiring land and an iron ore mine, obstacles that have also caused South Korea’s POSCO to abandon plans.

The decision to scrap the planned 12 million-tonnes-a-year (MTA) plant in the eastern state of Odisha, comes a day after the world’s fifth biggest steelmaker, POSCO, said it was ditching a 6 MTA plant in the southern Karnataka state because of delays in receiving iron ore mining rights and opposition from residents which had held back land acquisition.

The failed projects will be a blow to India’s federal government, which on Tuesday relaxed foreign investment rules to draw in funds needed to turn around slowing economic growth and support a weak rupee.

ArcelorMittal India and China Chief Executive Vijay Bhatnagar said the company’s other two projects in mineral-rich states of Jharkhand and Karnataka were making “steady progress” and it would continue to pursue them.

The Jharkhand plant is expected to have an annual capacity of 12 million tonnes, while the one in Karnataka is expected to have capacity of 6 million tonnes.

Copper: The metal that will build our future? – by Cole Latimer (Australian Mining – July 16, 2013)

July 17, 2013

http://www.miningaustralia.com.au/home

As we slowly come off the back of the mining boom, a number of questions are starting to be asked. Has the boom been played out, where to next, what will happen to iron ore? But what all are asking is what will be the metal of the future? What should we be digging that will provide the greatest return?

Perhaps the future is a metal which is a major part of humanity’s past – copper. Iron ore has been the metal that really drove Australia’s mining boom. It was the hero of the hour.

On the back of seemingly unending demand from Asia to fuel the growth of China we saw commodity prices skyrocket and essentially drag our nation out of the Global Financial Crisis.

Coal was also surging head, as both China and India required the energy needed to turn them into first world nations. As
a background to this gold prices also spiked, reaching never before seen heights.

But now the good times are over for these metals and the prices have steadily dropped, stabilising at more reasonable levels, or in some cases plummeting to just above cost levels.

Minister Michael Gravelle Energized [for Ring of Fire] – by Jame Murray (Netnewsledger.com – July 17, 2013)

July 17, 2013

http://www.netnewsledger.com/

THUNDER BAY – Minister of Northern Development and Mines, Michael Gravelle is energized. The Thunder Bay Superior North MPP has completed his treatment cycle fighting cancer. Minister Gravelle is feeling thankful that throughout his treatment, his energy level stayed high and he was able to keep working.

There are important issues, especially with the Ring of Fire that have taken a lot of attention from Gravelle. One of his tasks sounds simple. “Getting the right balance”.

Minister Michael Gravelle – Getting it right

However that task means bringing together the province and the federal government and First Nations. Back in May, Gravelle shares in an interview with NetNewsLedger there was a historic meeting with Matawa First Nations, Premier Wynne and his ministry. “There had been no similar meeting for over forty years,” shares the Minister. There had been both formal and informal talks, but not a formal meeting like that.

Gravelle states that “Cliffs Natural Resources and Noront Resources are both seeing the importance of engaging with First Nations, and getting this done right”. The Minister also is looking forward to a larger role from the federal government in the Ring of Fire.

Gold Imports by India Seen Shrinking as Curbs Increase Costs – by Swansy Afonso & Pratik Parija (Bloomberg News – July 17, 2013)

July 17, 2013

http://www.bloomberg.com/

Gold imports by India, the world’s biggest consumer last year, may tumble in the second half as the government curbs shipments to contain a record current-account deficit and stem a slide in the currency.

Inbound shipments may drop 22 percent to 372.5 metric tons in the six months through December from 478 tons a year earlier, according to a median of estimates from 10 importers, jewelers, analysts and trade groups compiled by Bloomberg.

That may still boost full-year imports to about 902 tons from 860 tons in 2012, according to Bloomberg calculations based on data from the World Gold Council and the All India Gem & Jewellery Trade Federation.

Falling Indian demand for physical gold may deepen a bear market in bullion as some investors sell the metal amid signs of an improving U.S. economy. Shoppers from India to China and Turkey crowded retail outlets to buy jewelry, coins and bars in April after the precious metal posted the biggest two-day loss in three decades. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. says that gold will reach $1,050 by the end of 2014, while Credit Suisse Group AG forecasts $1,150 in about a year.

“I see no reason to buy more gold,” said Bharti Chandra, a 38-year-old housewife, dressed in a salwar, who was selling an old necklace in Mumbai’s Zaveri Bazaar, the largest bullion market in the country.

Eldorado’s move to preserve capital signals what’s to come from other gold miners – by Peter Koven (National Post – July 17, 2013)

July 17, 2013

The National Post is Canada’s second largest national paper.

Falling gold prices have pushed miners to make drastic changes to their operating plans, but companies with healthy balance sheets and low cost bases should adapt without much trouble, experts said.

For the miners with marginal projects or weak balance sheets, it is a very different story. Precious metals companies have started to announce spending reductions, project deferrals and other adjustments in recent weeks as the gold price languishes below US$1,300 an ounce. Many similar announcements will be made when the senior and mid-size miners begin reporting second quarter results next week.

On Tuesday, Eldorado Gold Corp. provided a template for the types of moves its peers are likely to make. The Vancouver-based miner delayed three projects, deferred another and reduced its capital spending and exploration budgets for 2013 by a combined US$287.5-million (or 37%). Eldorado also said it will evaluate its dividend policy, though it did not announce any immediate reduction to the payout.

The company won praise from analysts and investors for making sensible moves that allow it to preserve capital while continuing to grow. “The revisions appear prudent and preserve balance sheet flexibility. More gold companies are expected to follow this trend given the low metal prices,” BMO Capital Markets analyst David Haughton wrote in a note.

[KGHM] Ajax trolling city for ideas on convincing residents – by Bronwen Scott (Kamloops This Week – July 16, 2013)

July 17, 2013

http://www.kamloopsthisweek.com/

The recent KGHM Ajax survey (‘Yes, that phone poll was from KGHM Ajax,’ July 11) appears to be aimed at trolling the public for ideas on how the company can convince Kamloops residents its proposed open-pit copper and gold mine could be environmentally friendly.

At least, that’s the impression when the company’s pollsters terminate the survey if respondents don’t agree that mining is an “essential part of the Kamloops economy” and only bother interviewing potential allies.

In fact, KGHM Ajax admits the survey wasn’t designed to find any statistical information or quantitative results. It’s just casting a wide net in the hopes of getting “an overall perspective and understanding of the [mining-friendly] residents’ opinion towards mining.”

The in-house team at KGHM Ajax doesn’t seem to be doing a credible job of informing or persuading a decent majority of the public that the mine’s a good idea — and good PR firms are expensive.

So, while we’re all forced to wait patiently and asked to withhold judgment until KGHM Ajax releases its meters-high stack of information and intentions this fall, the company keeps throwing money at community organizations and conducting surveys of the converted.

The race to ship liquefied natural gas to Asia – by Brenda Bouw (Globe and Mail – July 17, 2013)

July 17, 2013

The Globe and Mail is Canada’s national newspaper with the second largest broadsheet circulation in the country. It has enormous influence on Canada’s political and business elite.

A huge transition is taking place in Canada’s natural gas industry. As natural gas exports to the United States drop as a result of a drilling boom south of the border, big plans are being made to ship Canada’s natural gas to growing markets in the Asia-Pacific, where it can be sold at a premium.

But getting the gas overseas is no small feat. The commodity needs to be condensed into what’s known as liquefied natural gas (LNG), stored in tanks and shipped to waiting customers in places such as Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and China. There are no LNG terminals in Canada today – a gap some of the world’s largest energy companies are vying to fill.

About a dozen multibillion-dollar proposals are on the table to build export terminals on the coast of British Columbia, many linked through proposed pipeline routes from natural gas fields across northern British Columbia and Alberta.

“What we are talking about here is a complete reorientation of Canada’s natural gas supply chains,” said Peter Tertzakian, chief energy economist and managing director with Arc Financial Corp., a private equity firm. Of the proposals being considered, Mr. Tertzakian says the market likely can support only three, maybe four. For the energy industry, it’s game on.

Fedeli provides new documents – by Jennifer Hamilton-McCharles (North Bay Nugget – July 16, 2013)

July 17, 2013

http://www.nugget.ca/

This is an aerial view of Ontario Northland Railway yards in North Nipissing MPP Vic Fedeli provided new documents to Auditor General Bonnie Lysyk to consider in her special report on the sale of the Ontario Northland Transportation Commission.

Fedeli said the Auditor General’s report is expected to be released by the end of this summer.

“Ministry of Finance documents from January of this year that I’ve unearthed through the Justice Committee’s investigation into the gas plant scandal prove what I’ve maintained from day one – that the Liberal fire sale will achieve no savings,” he said Tuesday.

“In fact, it could cost Ontario taxpayers $1 billion more than the Liberals said it would in their budget last year.” Fedeli said the government was steadfast is telling the public the sale of the ONTC would save taxpayers $260 million. “They weren’t listening to us, but their numbers were wrong,” he said. “We asked the Auditor General to get involved and prove who is right.

“There’s no hesitation, our numbers are right. I wanna ask how can this government go through with this sale? The budget will have to be changed and why would a party sell something to lose a billion dollars?”

UPDATE 3-Big iron ore miners go for volume even as glut looms – by James Regan (Reuters U.S. – July 17, 2013)

July 17, 2013

http://www.reuters.com/

SYDNEY, July 17 (Reuters) – Record iron ore output from BHP Billiton and other mining giants appears to defy logic, with demand for the steel-making raw material cooling in top customer China and a price-eroding supply glut looming.

But the sector’s heavy guns are digging more for less to tighten their stranglehold on the world’s second-biggest commodity market, as competitors struggle.

In mining parlance, this is known as a “rebalancing” strategy, designed to improve the operating margins of the majors to such an extent that smaller competitors or new projects may be all but squeezed out.

“The majors want to maximise those economies of scale,” said MineLife sector analyst Gavin Wendt. “As long as they keep margins well ahead of a declining iron ore price, they are winning.” BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto and Fortescue Metals Group, with their iron ore operations in Australia, and Brazil’s Vale are leading the charge.

Seaborne-traded iron ore prices, which have lost 10 percent so far this year, are forecast to hit their lowest in four years by the end of 2013 as these big miners dig deeper and faster.

Critics of B.C.’s Ajax mine project press federal Environment Minister for review panel – by Wendy Stueck (Globe and Mail – July 17, 2013)

July 17, 2013

The Globe and Mail is Canada’s national newspaper with the second largest broadsheet circulation in the country. It has enormous influence on Canada’s political and business elite.

A group fighting a Kamloops-area mine proposal says it will ask new federal Environment Minister Leona Aglukkaq to refer the Ajax mine to a review panel, even though previous minister Peter Kent turned down a request for that approach.

“We’re getting our ducks in a row and we are going to be asking for [the review panel],” John Schleiermacher, spokesman for the Kamloops Area Preservation Association (KAPA), said on Tuesday. Kamloops Mayor Peter Milobar is also seeking meetings with Ms. Aglukkaq and new provincial ministers of mining and environment to discuss the project.

The proposed Ajax mine would be an open-pit copper-gold mine that would fall partly within Kamloops city limits. Currently, the project is in the early stages of a joint federal-provincial assessment called a comprehensive study.

KAPA, formed in 2011 by residents worried about potential health impacts of the mine, would like to see the project go to a review panel – a panel of independent experts that, among other things, can hold public hearings and summon witnesses.

Rickford has high hopes for Ring of Fire – by Carl Clutchey (Thunder Bay Chronicle-Journal – July 17, 2013)

July 17, 2013

Thunder Bay Chronicle-Journal is the daily newspaper of Northwestern Ontario.

Bumps in the road regarding the Ring of Fire mining belt are not a sign the project is hitting a dead-end, says newly-minted FedNor Minister Greg Rickford.

Rickford, who spent his first day Tuesday as the head of FedNor as well as Science and Technology minister poring through background material, is also the federal government’s new point-man for the Ring of Fire file.

He said recent events like Ring of Fire proponent Cliffs Natural Resources airing its frustration over the environmental approval process are normal. “So I don’t see the project as stalling, it’s just one of the necessary movements that are going to take place,” said Rickford. “It also reminds us that this is a very complex file.”

Rickford (Kenora) said that while he plans to bring a “fresh perspective” to FedNor, he said the program was well-served by his predecessor, Industry Canada Minister Tony Clement.

Critics, like NDP MP John Rafferty, said FedNor wasn’t a high priority for Clement, who was also saddled with being Treasury Board president.

AngloGold poised to write down value of assets by up to $2.6bn – by James Wilson and Andrew England (Financial Times – July 15, 2013)

July 17, 2013

http://www.ft.com/home/us

London/Johannesburg – AngloGold Ashanti joined other goldminers in responding to the sharp fall in the price of the precious metal by writing down the value of assets by up to $2.6bn and curbing production plans.

The South African miner will take a writedown charge of $2.2bn-$2.6bn in its most recent quarter, which included the steepest one-day drop in the gold price in more than three decades.

Goldminers around the world have cut the value of their assets by billions of dollars in recent weeks. AngloGold, the third-largest producer by volume, joins rivals including Barrick and Newcrest in acknowledging the deterioration in prospects for the sector.

AngloGold would “tighten up on costs, overheads and capital”, said Srinivasan Venkatakrishnan, chief executive, after a $220 drop in the average quarterly gold price. Output this year would now be 4m-4.1m oz, AngloGold said, cutting previous guidance of 4.1m-4.4m oz.

The fall in the gold price has squeezed margins for miners, with South Africa’s Chamber of Mines on Monday warning that about 60 per cent of the nation’s gold mining operations are lossmaking at current prices as the sector enters critical wage talks.