The Globe and Mail is Canada’s national newspaper with the second largest broadsheet circulation in the country. It has enormous influence on Canada’s political and business elite
ROME — The biggest takeover of the year looks set to go ahead after Anglo-Swiss mining giant Xstrata PLC recommended that its shareholders vote in favour of Glencore International’s overhauled merger proposal.
The deal, which was held up for half-a-year because of fights over price and executive pay, would value the combined group at about $80-billion (U.S.), based on current trading prices. It would vault the new company into mining’s super leagues, where it would compete with BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto, Vale and Anglo American. Xstrata boss Mick Davis and his Glencore counterpart, Ivan Glasenberg, have made no secret of their desire to own Anglo American; Xstrata tried to buy Anglo in 2009, but was rejected.
While the Xstrata-Glencore merger will almost certainly go ahead, risks abound. Glencore is primarily a trading and logistics company and Xstrata is a miner – it is the biggest exporter of thermal coal. Putting the two together is bound to create some cultural and operational tensions, all the more so since the new group is to be run by Mr. Glasenberg even though Glencore is smaller than Xstrata.
The bigger question is the enduring strength of the commodities “supercycle” as China’s growth rates come down. Mr. Davis’s bet that commodities were on a “stronger for longer” run certainly proved true in the last decade, when he built Xstrata from virtually nothing, but prices for some metals have dropped this year amid uneven demand.